Data Science · Advanced level

Advanced level · Module 1: Causal Inference and Programme Evaluation · Lesson 4 of 4

Other Designs and Sensitivity

Recognise matching and regression discontinuity designs and test how sensitive conclusions are to assumptions.

In this lesson you will

  • Describe matching and regression discontinuity designs
  • Carry out simple sensitivity analyses

Key concepts

propensity score matchingregression discontinuitysensitivity analysisexternal validity

The lesson

Matching compares participants with similar non-participants on observed characteristics; it cannot fix unobserved differences. Regression discontinuity uses eligibility cut-offs — such as a vulnerability score — comparing units just above and below.

Sensitivity analysis asks how conclusions change under different assumptions, comparison groups or specifications. Robust findings survive reasonable changes.

Even a credible estimate applies to the setting studied; results from one county may not transfer to another (external validity).

Step by step

  1. Identify an eligibility cut-off suitable for regression discontinuity.
  2. Re-estimate the DiD with a different comparison group.
  3. Exclude one district and re-estimate.
  4. Summarise how stable the result is.

Practice activity

Write the sensitivity section of the feeding evaluation.

Expected result: A sensitivity analysis with a clear judgement of the result's robustness.

Check your understanding

  1. What can matching not correct?

    Show answer

    Differences in unobserved characteristics.

  2. What does regression discontinuity exploit?

    Show answer

    An eligibility cut-off, comparing units just either side of it.

Taught live by an instructor — online or in person. Free course lessons are for self-study and do not lead to a certificate — see registration options.